I had the same problem
I solwed it with copy dotnetnuke.config file from config folder to main lokation and ad a line in web config
<appSettings>
<!-- Connection String for SQL Server 2005 Express - kept for backwards compatability - legacy modules
<add key="SiteSqlServer" value="Data Source=.\SQLExpress;Integrated Security=True;User Instance=True;AttachDBFilename=|DataDirectory|Database.mdf;" />
-->
<!-- Connection String for SQL Server 2000/2005 - kept for backwards compatability - legacy modules -->
<add key="SiteSqlServer" value="Server=(local);Database=DotNetNuke;uid=;pwd=;"/>
<add key="InstallTemplate" value="DotNetNuke.install.config" />
<add key="AutoUpgrade" value="true" />
<add key="UseInstallWizard" value="true" />
<add key="InstallMemberRole" value="true" />
<add key="ShowMissingKeys" value="false" />
<add key="EnableWebFarmSupport" value="false" />
<add key="EnableCachePersistence" value="false" />
<add key="HostHeader" value="" />
<!-- Host Header to remove from URL so "www.mydomain.com/johndoe/Default.aspx" is treated as "www.mydomain.com/Default.aspx" -->
<add key="RemoveAngleBrackets" value="false" />
<!--optionally strip angle brackets on public login and registration screens-->
<add key="PersistentCookieTimeout" value="0" />
<!--use as persistent cookie expiration. Value is in minutes, and only active if a non-zero figure-->
<add key="InstallationDate" value="10/23/2007" />
</appSettings>
and instalation wizard works